Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.030906 0.035949 0.041499 0.048053 0.055573 0.063924 0.073892
2025-10-12 0.024255 0.031051 0.039212 0.049703 0.062798 0.078567 0.098961
2025-10-19 0.018520 0.025804 0.035249 0.048321 0.065865 0.088507 0.119840
2025-10-26 0.014818 0.022262 0.032591 0.047844 0.069650 0.099522 0.143330
2025-11-02 0.011838 0.019053 0.029700 0.046369 0.071584 0.108009 0.164236
2025-11-09 0.009686 0.016606 0.027406 0.045238 0.073619 0.116609 0.186066
2025-11-16 0.008247 0.014980 0.026040 0.045200 0.077125 0.127580 0.212474
2025-11-23 0.006896 0.013235 0.024169 0.043993 0.078475 0.135182 0.234269
2025-11-30 0.006299 0.012699 0.024225 0.045977 0.085274 0.152178 0.272995
2025-12-07 0.005523 0.011688 0.023272 0.046008 0.088621 0.163652 0.303513
2025-12-14 0.004691 0.010416 0.021634 0.044520 0.088986 0.169891 0.325423
2025-12-21 0.004109 0.009545 0.020626 0.044062 0.091150 0.179462 0.354136
2025-12-28 0.003882 0.009404 0.021076 0.046595 0.099464 0.201402 0.408308
2026-01-04 0.003593 0.009077 0.021096 0.048252 0.106246 0.221153 0.460381
2026-01-11 0.003103 0.008196 0.019797 0.046936 0.106773 0.228773 0.489610
2026-01-18 0.002744 0.007565 0.018953 0.046485 0.109044 0.240065 0.527244
2026-01-25 0.002373 0.006830 0.017754 0.045056 0.108991 0.246534 0.555569
2026-02-01 0.002073 0.006223 0.016762 0.043958 0.109519 0.254227 0.587146
2026-02-08 0.001868 0.005833 0.016245 0.043923 0.112464 0.267385 0.631657
2026-02-15 0.001635 0.005317 0.015322 0.042749 0.112559 0.274216 0.662859
2026-02-22 0.001563 0.005260 0.015601 0.044681 0.120414 0.299352 0.737520
2026-03-01 0.001421 0.004961 0.015179 0.044711 0.123538 0.313836 0.789065
2026-03-08 0.001241 0.004509 0.014257 0.043262 0.122716 0.318916 0.819072